- The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Athletics / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Athletics are 19-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 16-26 ATS.
Athletics vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Aaron Brooks 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 2-1, 3.68 ERA
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -115 | +200 |
| Astros | -1.5 -130 | U 8.5 -105 | -250 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 69.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+16.10 Units / 101% ROI)
- Max Schuemann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 11 away games (+13.50 Units / 123% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 77% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+21.75 Units / 145% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 41 games (+19.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+14.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 24-20 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -1.67% ROI).
- 19-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 4.45% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.1% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -9.62% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 16-26 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -19.9% ROI).
- 17-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -25.64% ROI
- 16-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -21.83% ROI
- 24-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 13.72% ROI
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tyler Nevin (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Esteury Ruiz (OAK) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Aaron Brooks (OAK) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -185 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (725/1,181) against Framber Valdez since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .299 (161 Total Bases / 539 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (55/87) against Framber Valdez this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (811/1,710) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 7-9 (.438) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Athletics are just 20-118 (.145) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Athletics are just 19-46 (.292) after a home loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Athletics are just 125-199 (.386) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 64-44 (.593) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Astros are 151-21 (.878) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are 17-17 (.500) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Astros are just 21-80 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (6,672 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Athletics are batting just .215 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .160 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Athletics won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 729 strikeouts in 4,140 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 81 strikeouts in 489 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 276 strikeouts in 1,614 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.22 (1809.0 IP) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 14% of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .286 against Astros pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros pitchers have walked 174 of 1,634 batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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