Athletics vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 31

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Atlanta Braves' Austin Riley in action during Game 4 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Oct. 12, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
AP Photo/Chris Szagola
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 31, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Athletics / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | NSCA

The Oakland Athletics (+185) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Athletics are 23-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 26-28 ATS.

Athletics vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 4-3, 3.88 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 2-2, 1.77 ERA

Athletics vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -105O 8 -105+185
Braves -1.5 -115U 8 -115-225

Athletics vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+16.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Zack Gelof has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+12.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+16.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+14.10 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 29 games (+13.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 40 games (+19.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.99 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 41 games (+3.15 Units / 7% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 28-30 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -10.77% ROI).

  • 23-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -5.81% ROI
  • 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -6.31% ROI
  • 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -3.66% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 26-28 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.74% ROI).

  • 31-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -5.72% ROI
  • 19-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -28.34% ROI
  • 33-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.1 Units / 20.12% ROI

Braves vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +220 0.5 -275
Adam Duvall (ATL) 0.5 +225 0.5 -275
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Sean Murphy (ATL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450

Braves vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sean Murphy (ATL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Miguel Andujar (OAK) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Abraham Toro (OAK) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Adam Duvall (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Braves vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Adam Duvall (ATL) 0.5 +110 0.5 -140
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Sean Murphy (ATL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Braves vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) 5.5 +100 5.5 -135
JP Sears (OAK) 4.5 +130 4.5 -175

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (32/200) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 31% (40 SO in 129 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 16% (16 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

JP Sears has struck out just 14% (25/185) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .190 (15-for-79) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .271 — 96th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .100 (10 Total Bases / 100 ABs) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .135 (34 Total Bases / 252 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .240 — 97th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 399 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.

The Athletics are just 81-166 (.328) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Athletics are just 39-77 (.336) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Athletics are just 14-47 (.230) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Braves are 34-59 (.366) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Braves are 17-65 (.207) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Braves are 49-48 (.505) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (558 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

The Athletics are batting just .202 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (3,738 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Athletics are batting just .226 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Braves hitters are slugging .472 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .808 (6,315 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Braves hitters are slugging .460 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Braves hitters have an OBP of .380 (1,000 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.62 (924.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

The Athletics have allowed 5.58 runs per game (614/110) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (1,284 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.

The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.1 MPH this season (1,284 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Braves vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.