- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Athletics / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+185) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Athletics are 23-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 26-28 ATS.
Athletics vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 4-3, 3.88 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 2-2, 1.77 ERA
Athletics vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -105 | O 8 -105 | +185 |
| Braves | -1.5 -115 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
Athletics vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+16.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+12.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+16.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+14.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 29 games (+13.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.50 Units / 37% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 40 games (+19.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.99 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 41 games (+3.15 Units / 7% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 28-30 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -10.77% ROI).
- 23-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -5.81% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -6.31% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -3.66% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 26-28 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.74% ROI).
- 31-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -5.72% ROI
- 19-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -28.34% ROI
- 33-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.1 Units / 20.12% ROI
Braves vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Braves vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Braves vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| JP Sears (OAK) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (32/200) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 31% (40 SO in 129 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 16% (16 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
JP Sears has struck out just 14% (25/185) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .190 (15-for-79) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .271 — 96th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .100 (10 Total Bases / 100 ABs) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .135 (34 Total Bases / 252 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .240 — 97th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 399 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Athletics are just 81-166 (.328) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Athletics are just 39-77 (.336) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 14-47 (.230) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Braves are 34-59 (.366) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 17-65 (.207) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Braves are 49-48 (.505) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .262 (558 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Athletics are batting just .202 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (3,738 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Athletics are batting just .226 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .472 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .808 (6,315 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Braves hitters are slugging .460 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .380 (1,000 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.62 (924.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
The Athletics have allowed 5.58 runs per game (614/110) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (1,284 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.1 MPH this season (1,284 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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