Athletics vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 14

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Mets are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Athletics / Mets TV Channel: SNY | NSCA

The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-190) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Athletics are 51-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 57-62 ATS.

Athletics vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 5-4, 4.74 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 6-1, 3.38 ERA

Athletics vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -135O 8.5 -115+155
Mets -1.5 +110U 8.5 -105-190

Athletics vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brent Rooker has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 39 games (+27.35 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 46 games (+20.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+18.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+17.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in his last 16 away games (+16.00 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 34 games (+32.50 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+14.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 77 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 away games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 63-57 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -2.78% ROI).

  • 51-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -0.79% ROI
  • 54-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.1 Units / -12.19% ROI
  • 63-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 2.24% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 57-62 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -5.64% ROI).

  • 61-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -2.08% ROI
  • 59-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.46% ROI
  • 54-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -7.92% ROI

Mets vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Tyrone Taylor (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Mets vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Andujar (OAK) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jeff McNeil (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jesse Winker (NYM) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Mets vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Jeff McNeil (NYM) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Mets vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Estes (OAK) 3.5 -145 3.5 +110
David Peterson (NYM) 5.5 -110 5.5 -115

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (30/152) against Joey Estes in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (60/255) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (36/135) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Joey Estes has an ERA of 7.47 (37.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 4.19 — first Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (57/100) against David Peterson on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 36% — first Percentile.

David Peterson has a strike rate of just 61% (2,255/3,715) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

David Peterson has allowed an OBP of .383 (483 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has allowed an OBP of .317 (407 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Athletics are just 61-119 (.339) after a loss since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

The Athletics are just 128-82 (.610) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Athletics are just 161-282 (.363) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mets are 6-48 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Mets are 81-35 (.698) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

The Mets are just 14-61 (.187) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Mets are just 48-6 (.889) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .292 (12,157 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .293 (16,282 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Mets hitters are slugging .447 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,232 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Mets are batting .256 on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .325 (11,791 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.48 (1194.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Athletics pitchers have walked 235 of 2,485 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have walked 96 of 1,064 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mets pitchers have walked 236 of 2,476 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
  • Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
  • Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Soderstrom (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Esteury Ruiz (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Michael Kelly (Oakland Athletics): Suspension, Suspension
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Lat, 7-Day IL
  • Ross Stripling (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Darell Hernaiz (Oakland Athletics): Ankle, 60-Day IL
  • Dany Jimenez (Oakland Athletics): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Alex Wood (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Paul Blackburn (Oakland Athletics): Foot, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.