- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Angels
- Braves vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Angels TV Channel: BSSE | BSW | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-150) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+125) on Friday, August 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Braves are 64-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 66-55 ATS.
Braves vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 4-5, 3.95 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 6-7, 3.38 ERA
Braves vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +105 | O 8 +100 | -150 |
| Angels | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -120 | +125 |
Braves vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+22.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+18.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+17.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+15.25 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 23 games (+20.50 Units / 89% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+14.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+10.70 Units / 126% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 107 games (+27.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 59 away games (+9.04 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 62 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 55% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 52-69 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -14.16% ROI).
- 64-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -11.74% ROI
- 46-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.2 Units / -22.86% ROI
- 70-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.15 Units / 14.26% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 66-55 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -3.41% ROI).
- 52-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 58-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -3.44% ROI
- 57-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -4.76% ROI
Angels vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Angels vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Rendon (LAA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Angels vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Angels vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josรฉ Soriano (LAA) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (22/33) against Spencer Schwellenbach in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (22/33) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has struck out 46% (12/26) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 35% (175/496) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (135/211) against Jose Soriano in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (75 Total Bases / 300 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .416 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (186/309) against Jose Soriano this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has a first-pitch strike rate of just 26% (6/23) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 25-13 (.658) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 35-80 (.304) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Braves are 72-133 (.351) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Angels are just 25-38 (.397) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Angels are just 25-114 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .470 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters are slugging .464 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .808 (4,216 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Braves hitters are slugging .486 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .635 (1,282 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,282 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels have scored first in just 25% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 176 PA’s (12%) against LHP this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Braves pitchers this month (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 256 of 2,512 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 378 of 3,952 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 106 of 1,078 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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