- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Angels
- Braves vs Angels Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Angels TV Channel: BSSE | BSW | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-225) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+180) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Braves are 64-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 67-55 ATS.
Braves vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.63 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 4-10, 5.12 ERA
Braves vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -130 | O 8 -110 | -225 |
| Angels | +1.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | +180 |
Braves vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+23.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+19.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+15.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+15.20 Units / 380% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 24 games (+19.50 Units / 81% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Griffin Canning has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.70 Units / 102% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 108 games (+28.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 60 away games (+10.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 63 games (+7.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 52-70 against the Run Line (-21.45 Units / -14.75% ROI).
- 64-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.65 Units / -12.48% ROI
- 46-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.3 Units / -23.5% ROI
- 71-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.15 Units / 14.89% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 67-55 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -2.79% ROI).
- 53-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -3.14% ROI
- 58-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -4.22% ROI
- 58-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -3.97% ROI
Angels vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Angels vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Angels vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Angels vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (LAA) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
26 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 45% (37 SO in 82 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an OPS of just .466 (198 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 98th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 33% (177 SO in 531 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of .941 (216 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .682 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (114 Total Bases / 194 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has struck out just 16% (46/292) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .609 (39 Total Bases / 64 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — third Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 72-134 (.350) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Braves are 102-65 (.611) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Braves are 30-59 (.337) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Angels are just 26-38 (.406) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Angels are just 109-11 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (512/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
The Braves are batting .270 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Braves hitters are slugging .463 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are hitting just .212 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .636 (1,284 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 41% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Angels have scored first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Braves pitchers this month (15 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 259 of 2,521 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 109 of 1,087 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels pitchers have walked 450 of 4,622 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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