- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Angels
- Braves vs Angels Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Angels TV Channel: BSSE | BSW | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-175) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+145) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Braves are 65-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 67-56 ATS.
Braves vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 6-7, 4.48 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Jack Kochanowicz 1-2, 8.36 ERA
Braves vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -120 | -175 |
| Angels | +1.5 -110 | U 9.5 +100 | +145 |
Braves vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+20.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+19.90 Units / 199% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+18.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 48 games (+17.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 25 games (+18.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+16.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.40 Units / 60% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 109 games (+26.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 away games (+8.79 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 64 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 53-70 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -13.94% ROI).
- 65-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.65 Units / -11.84% ROI
- 47-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.3 Units / -22.56% ROI
- 71-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.05 Units / 13.96% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 67-56 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -3.36% ROI).
- 53-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 59-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.45% ROI
- 58-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -4.76% ROI
Angels vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Angels vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Angels vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Angels vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +110 |
| Jack Kochanowicz (LAA) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (573/1,104) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (1,179/2,564) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has allowed an OPS of .801 (733 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — ninth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (477/1,182) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (4/48) against Jack Kochanowicz over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 9% (3/34) against Jack Kochanowicz this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 9% (3/34) against Jack Kochanowicz in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (17/26) against Jack Kochanowicz this month (1 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 19-98 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 102-65 (.611) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Braves are 51-65 (.440) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Angels are just 85-56 (.603) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Angels are just 109-11 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .686 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .823 (2,587 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Braves hitters are slugging .485 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Braves hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have scored first in just 24% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Angels have scored first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Angels have a winning percentage of just 41% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .640 (1,289 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Braves pitchers this month (16 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 259 of 2,530 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels pitchers have walked 381 of 3,970 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 109 of 1,096 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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