- The Braves are -105 favorites vs the Giants
- Braves vs Giants Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Braves / Giants TV Channel: BSSO | NSBA | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Thursday, August 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Braves are 64-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 60-63 ATS.
Braves vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 7-6, 3.55 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 10-8, 3.33 ERA
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +170 | O 7 +100 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -210 | U 7 -120 | -115 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+21.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+17.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+17.10 Units / 244% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+16.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+14.25 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 26 games (+54.00 Units / 208% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+17.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+16.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+14.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.95 Units / 36% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 106 games (+26.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 away games (+8.04 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+6.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 82 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 57 games at home (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 91 games (+5.30 Units / 5% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 52-68 against the Run Line (-18.35 Units / -12.9% ROI).
- 64-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.95 Units / -11.27% ROI
- 46-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.1 Units / -22.21% ROI
- 69-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.15 Units / 13.63% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 60-63 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -4.91% ROI).
- 61-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -5.41% ROI
- 64-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 2.27% ROI
- 56-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -10.79% ROI
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Logan Webb (SF) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (193/328) against Max Fried this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (316/539) against Max Fried since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (127/209) against Max Fried in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (156/260) against Max Fried this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (2,142/5,628) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (132/229) against Logan Webb this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (266/473) against Logan Webb this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (1,396/3,920) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Braves are 102-64 (.614) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Braves are 51-64 (.443) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are just 45-75 (.375) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Giants are 21-11 (.656) after a home loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Giants are 5-52 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Giants are 43-24 (.642) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .486 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Braves hitters are slugging .465 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .470 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Braves are batting .270 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .383 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Giants hitters have 786 strikeouts in 3,184 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .383 against RHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Giants hitters are slugging just .387 at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 156 of 2,528 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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