- The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Braves
- Braves vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Mets TV Channel: BSSE | SNY
The Atlanta Braves (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Braves are 54-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 50-52 ATS.
Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 5-5, 4.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 +100 | +115 |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -120 | -135 |
Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+18.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+16.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.40 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+30.00 Units / 158% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+15.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+14.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 87 games (+30.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 46 away games (+14.79 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 93 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 54 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-57 against the Run Line (-13.85 Units / -11.83% ROI).
- 54-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -10.67% ROI
- 35-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.6 Units / -28.6% ROI
- 61-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.35 Units / 19.98% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 50-52 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -3.67% ROI).
- 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 2.08% ROI
- 53-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 3.87% ROI
- 44-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -12.45% ROI
Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 5.5 -165 | 5.5 +130 |
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 707 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (543/1,048) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (284/520) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (701/1,701) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .111 (36-for-324) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .171 — 99th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (560/1,070) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Kodai Senga has allowed an OPS of just .450 (195 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .667 — 100th Percentile.
Kodai Senga has walked 25 of 157 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Braves are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Braves are 24-13 (.649) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 84-48 (.636) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Braves are 124-8 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mets are just 38-11 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Mets are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Mets are 16-12 (.571) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Mets are just 10-13 (.435) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .485 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters are slugging .682 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .374 (1,226 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .822 (2,395 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .266 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,117 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Mets hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,943 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have walked 50 of 901 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 395 of 3,919 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 86 of 917 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
