- The Braves are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Braves vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Braves / Rockies TV Channel: BSSE | ROTV
The Atlanta Braves (-190) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+155) on Saturday, August 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Braves are 60-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 59-58 ATS.
Braves vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 7-6, 3.39 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 2-12, 5.87 ERA
Braves vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -130 | O 10.5 -110 | -190 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | U 10.5 -110 | +155 |
Braves vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 65.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+17.20 Units / 143% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 46 games (+14.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+14.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+14.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 35 games (+38.80 Units / 111% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+12.60 Units / 85% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games at home (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 65% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 101 games (+27.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 away games (+9.34 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 46 away games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games at home (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 50-65 against the Run Line (-17.2 Units / -12.66% ROI).
- 60-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.4 Units / -12.98% ROI
- 43-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -30 Units / -23.89% ROI
- 67-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.4 Units / 15.2% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 59-58 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -7.98% ROI).
- 43-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -7.07% ROI
- 58-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -3.61% ROI
- 57-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -5.47% ROI
Rockies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rockies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Rockies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Rockies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Dakota Hudson (COL) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +110 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.6 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (73 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 90.2
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH against his fastballs since last season (284 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 90.9
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.5 MPH this season (312 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (309/526) against Max Fried since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (48/239) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .330 (497 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .224 (55-for-246) against Cal Quantrill with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (37 Total Bases / 56 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .353 — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are 100-63 (.613) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Braves are 85-39 (.685) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Braves are just 7-15 (.318) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rockies are just 72-30 (.706) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 86-13 (.869) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 12-43 (.218) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .481 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Braves hitters are slugging .688 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Braves hitters are slugging .707 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .817 (2,478 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .282 (534 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies won only 27% of their road games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Braves pitchers this month (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have walked 59 of 1,024 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,780 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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