- The Braves are -105 favorites vs the Twins
- Braves vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSSO
The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Monday, August 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Braves are 70-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 63-67 ATS.
Braves vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 7-7, 3.56 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 12-5, 3.54 ERA
Braves vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -105 |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -115 |
Braves vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+24.20 Units / 220% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+22.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+17.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+17.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+27.50 Units / 120% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 116 games (+33.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 62 away games (+9.79 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+13.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+11.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 54 games (+8.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 110 games (+8.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 57-73 against the Run Line (-19.4 Units / -12.5% ROI).
- 70-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.35 Units / -10.11% ROI
- 47-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -37.8 Units / -26.66% ROI
- 78-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +26.05 Units / 18.05% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 63-67 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -3.31% ROI).
- 72-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -0.52% ROI
- 66-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 1.7% ROI
- 58-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.05 Units / -10.57% ROI
Twins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Whit Merrifield (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (ATL) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +130 |
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Max Fried has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 (81 Total Bases / 283 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .413 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .241 (20-for-83) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .342 — 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .127 (27-for-212) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed an OBP of just .229 (258 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (49 Total Bases / 212 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (42/135) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 33-59 (.359) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Braves are just 4-24 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Braves are 106-67 (.613) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Twins are 25-94 (.210) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are just 1-50 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Twins are 55-3 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Twins are 60-23 (.723) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .818 (2,691 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Braves hitters are slugging .481 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Braves are batting .269 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .805 (4,329 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,514 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .793 (2,361 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .325 (12,749 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Twins hitters have 136 extra-base hits out of 320 total hits (42%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Braves pitchers this month (23 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .264 (1,153 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
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