- The Braves are -110 favorites vs the Twins
- Braves vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSSO
The Atlanta Braves (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on Tuesday, August 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Braves are 71-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 63-68 ATS.
Braves vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 5-6, 3.94 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 5-3, 3.71 ERA
Braves vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Braves vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+23.20 Units / 193% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+22.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+17.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+17.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+26.50 Units / 110% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 117 games (+32.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 63 away games (+8.79 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+8.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+12.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 55 games (+7.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 111 games (+6.80 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 58-73 against the Run Line (-18.4 Units / -11.7% ROI).
- 71-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.35 Units / -9.59% ROI
- 48-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -36.8 Units / -25.75% ROI
- 78-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +24.95 Units / 17.15% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 63-68 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -3.89% ROI).
- 72-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.17% ROI
- 67-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 2.38% ROI
- 58-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.15 Units / -11.25% ROI
Twins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has not walked any of the 53 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a first-pitch strike rate of 85% (39/46) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (71/191) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strikeout rate of 33% (27 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 99th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (51 Total Bases / 179 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .408 — 96th Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 2 double plays in 86 opportunities (2%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OPS of just .567 (202 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .719 — 95th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 47 of Simeon Woods Richardson’s 210 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 275-179 (.606) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 167-107 (.609) after a win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Twins are 60-24 (.714) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Twins are just 1-51 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Twins are 130-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 198-5 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .481 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters are slugging .467 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Braves are batting .269 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Braves hitters are slugging .682 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .439 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Twins hitters are slugging .457 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Twins are batting .263 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Twins hitters are slugging .462 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .356.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 67 of 1,164 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 1,247 of 16,917 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .264 (1,162 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Twins vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
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