- The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Twins
- Braves vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Braves / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSSO | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+115) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Braves are 72-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 63-69 ATS.
Braves vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 14-3, 2.65 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 2-3, 5.21 ERA
Braves vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -115 | -135 |
| Twins | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -105 | +115 |
Braves vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 away games (+22.20 Units / 171% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+19.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+14.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.90 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+26.50 Units / 110% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+13.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 118 games (+31.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 64 away games (+7.79 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+7.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 games at home (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+13.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 112 games (+5.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 56 games (+5.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 59-73 against the Run Line (-16.9 Units / -10.68% ROI).
- 72-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.35 Units / -9.08% ROI
- 49-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -35.8 Units / -24.84% ROI
- 78-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.95 Units / 16.35% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 63-69 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -4.87% ROI).
- 72-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -1.75% ROI
- 68-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 3.06% ROI
- 58-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.15 Units / -11.87% ROI
Twins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Twins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Festa (MIN) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
27 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 46% (45 SO in 99 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 34% (74 SO in 216 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 33% (191 SO in 584 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 41% (17/42) against David Festa this month (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
David Festa has allowed an OPS of just .342 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 96th Percentile.
David Festa has struck out 37% (16/43) of left-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.
David Festa has allowed an OBP of just .194 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 91st Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 52-65 (.444) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 65-46 (.586) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Twins are 130-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 198-5 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 59-1 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Twins are 19-15 (.559) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Twins vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
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