- The Brewers are -130 favorites vs the Athletics
- Brewers vs Athletics Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Brewers / Athletics TV Channel: BSWI | NSCA
The Milwaukee Brewers (-130) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+110) on Friday, August 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Brewers are 73-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 68-60 ATS.
Brewers vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 4-8, 4.78 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 10-8, 4.20 ERA
Brewers vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -110 | -130 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -110 | +110 |
Brewers vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+16.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+16.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+15.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 46 games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+12.30 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brent Rooker has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 45 games (+21.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+15.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 127 games (+12.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 127 games (+8.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 99 games (+5.80 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games (+13.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+12.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 66-61 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.33% ROI).
- 73-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 7.64% ROI
- 68-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.65 Units / 8.4% ROI
- 52-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.05 Units / -16.38% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 68-60 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -1.97% ROI).
- 55-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.18% ROI
- 56-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -14.58% ROI
- 69-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.95 Units / 4.94% ROI
Athletics vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Athletics vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Athletics vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears (OAK) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since last season is 383.3 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 398.9
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.4 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Aaron Civale in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 14% (18 SO in 125 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 17% (39 SO in 225 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (81/423) against JP Sears this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
JP Sears has struck out just 17% (80/458) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — sixth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Brewers are 44-3 (.936) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Brewers are 63-17 (.788) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
The Brewers are 51-50 (.505) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Brewers are 72-51 (.585) after a loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 9-12 (.429) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Athletics are just 105-184 (.363) since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .466 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .559.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,636/17,046 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have drawn 1,200 walks in 12,586 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .298 (4,243 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Athletics are batting just .207 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Athletics are batting just .217 against division opponents since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Athletics are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Brewers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.51 (1211.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Soderstrom (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Esteury Ruiz (Oakland Athletics): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Michael Kelly (Oakland Athletics): Suspension, Suspension
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Ross Stripling (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Darell Hernaiz (Oakland Athletics): Ankle, 60-Day IL
- Dany Jimenez (Oakland Athletics): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Alex Wood (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Paul Blackburn (Oakland Athletics): Foot, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
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