- Brewers / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Tuesday, March 12, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in Mesa, AZ.
This season, the Brewers are 3-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 8-5 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +135 |
| Cubs | -160 |
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.40 Units / 180% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
- Matt Mervis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 3-6 against the Run Line (-5.07 Units / -40.02% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.24 Units / -32.27% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 15.84% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -25.26% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.71 Units / 16.14% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.61 Units / 3.85% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.83 Units / -41.06% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.57 Units / 31.74% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea allowed an OPS of just .458 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 53% (99/187) against Colin Rea in the 2023 season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .211 (53-for-251) against Colin Rea’s fastball in the 2023 season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .270 — 95th Percentile.
Colin Rea allowed an OPS of .994 (100 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .742 — fourth Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele located 46% of his pitches inside (824/1,808) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele located 43% of his pitches inside (1,150/2,678) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele located 45% of his pitches inside (324/715) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele located 46% of his pitches inside (215/463) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers were 19-39 (.328) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Brewers batted just .219 with two outs in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters slugged .509 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Cubs batted .167 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .337 (3,050 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
- Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
Bet now on Brewers vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
