- The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Giants
- Brewers vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Brewers / Giants TV Channel: BSWI | NSBA | ESPN+
The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Brewers are 82-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 70-74 ATS.
Brewers vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 5-8, 4.62 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 3-5, 5.20 ERA
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -105 | -125 |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -115 | +105 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 47 games (+27.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+17.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+16.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+13.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.75 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 47 games (+33.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 48 games (+18.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+16.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+12.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 139 games (+13.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 143 games (+10.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 143 games (+9.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 80 of their last 143 games (+8.04 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 115 games (+7.30 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 67 games at home (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 103 games (+6.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 62 of their last 112 games (+5.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 74-69 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 1.09% ROI).
- 82-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 5% ROI
- 75-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.1 Units / 7.11% ROI
- 59-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.8 Units / -15.02% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 70-74 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -5.5% ROI).
- 71-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -6.71% ROI
- 73-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.14% ROI
- 65-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.45 Units / -9.72% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since last season is 384.6 feet — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 398.6
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 30 ABsending on a two-strike cutter from Aaron Civale. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Aaron Civale has an ERA of 6.59 (56.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 4.18 — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 31% of Hayden Birdsong’s pitches (24/77) this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has a strike rate of just 53% (41/77) this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has walked 4 of 16 left-handed batters (25%) this month (1 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has allowed an OBP of .471 (17 PA’s) this month (1 games) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .300 — third Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 35-77 (.312) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 37-37 (.500) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Brewers are just 3-115 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Brewers are 122-22 (.847) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are just 38-41 (.481) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Giants are just 33-49 (.402) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Giants are 45-27 (.625) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Giants are 22-130 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .169 this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,702/17,669 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have 21 extra-base hits out of 40 total hits (53%) this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 14 strikeouts in 38 PA’s (37%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants hitters have 1,304 strikeouts in 5,246 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .314 (2,161 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .683 (3,878 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (907.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (629.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Brewers pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% against Giants pitchers this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
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