Brewers vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 29

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Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 29, 2024, 10:57 AM

The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Thursday, February 29, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.

This season, the Brewers are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 4-2 ATS.

Brewers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Brewers+115
Rangers -135

Brewers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 54.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Joey Wiemer has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -52.25% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -52.63% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 4-2 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 22.99% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 50% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -50% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 41.01% ROI

Joe Ross has limited playing time.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nathan Eovaldi had a strike rate of just 59% (392/666) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .164 (33 GB hits out of 201 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 97th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi allowed an OBP of just .242 (120 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .282 (74-for-262) against Nathan Eovaldi in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 93rd Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Brewers were 19-39 (.328) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Brewers batted just .219 with two outs in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rangers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
  • Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.