- The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Reds
- Brewers vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Brewers / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Brewers are 77-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 73-61 ATS.
Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -105 | -120 |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | U 9.5 -115 | +100 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+17.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+17.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 70 of their last 129 games (+14.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 133 games (+13.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 105 games (+11.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 133 games (+10.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 74 of their last 133 games (+5.89 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games at home (+12.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games at home (+10.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 116 games (+9.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 84 games (+1.95 Units / 2% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 71-62 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 3.55% ROI).
- 77-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.55 Units / 8.08% ROI
- 71-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.55 Units / 8.65% ROI
- 54-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.4 Units / -16.54% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 73-61 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 3.08% ROI).
- 64-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 63-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -5.61% ROI
- 64-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -3.84% ROI
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has walked 1 of 106 batters (1%) this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 19% (43 SO in 225 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .088 (8-for-91) against Colin Rea on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (86/508) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has walked 13 of 428 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 13 of 428 batters (3%) this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 6 of 209 left-handed batters (3%) this season — tied for 7th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 93rd Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 3 of 114 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Brewers are 45-3 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Brewers are 49-121 (.288) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 16-37 (.302) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 34-37 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Reds are just 3-51 (.056) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Reds are just 11-22 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 39 extra-base hits out of 142 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,261 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Brewers are batting just .240 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .147 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .300 (3,500 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Brewers pitchers this month (25 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.70 (2624.0 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.67 (1181.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.83 (113.1 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.04.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
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