- The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Reds
- Brewers vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Brewers / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Brewers are 80-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 75-62 ATS.
Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 6-5, 2.99 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -120 | -125 |
| Reds | +1.5 -160 | U 9.5 +100 | +105 |
Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 44 games (+20.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+17.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+16.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+14.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+24.00 Units / 171% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+20.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+15.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+12.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 132 games (+16.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 80 of their last 136 games (+16.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 77 of their last 136 games (+12.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 108 games (+10.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games at home (+15.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games at home (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 119 games (+10.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 72-64 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 2.92% ROI).
- 80-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.55 Units / 9.67% ROI
- 73-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.55 Units / 9.8% ROI
- 54-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.6 Units / -17.65% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 75-62 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 3.56% ROI).
- 64-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -7.63% ROI
- 65-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -4.16% ROI
- 64-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -5.22% ROI
Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Amed Rosario (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson (Cin) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (53/156) against Tobias Myers this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .157 (13-for-83) against Tobias Myers with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (32/60) against Tobias Myers when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OBP of just .226 (93 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
7 of Jakob Junis’ 20 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (377/531) since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
29 of Jakob Junis’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since the 2022 season — most among NL Relievers; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (126/165) this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 35-76 (.315) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 46-3 (.939) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Brewers are 19-22 (.463) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .361.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Reds are just 34-37 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Reds vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
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