The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (-110) on Sunday, March 10, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Brewers are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 7-5 ATS.
Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -110 |
| Rockies | -110 |
Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 3-5 against the Run Line (-4.07 Units / -34.88% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.12 Units / -23.77% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 30% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -40.12% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 7-5 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.24 Units / 32.62% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.52 Units / 26.33% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.71 Units / -36.15% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jakob Junis allowed an OPS of 1.744 (46 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 1.069 — first Percentile.
Jakob Junis allowed a slugging percentage of 1.100 (33 Total Bases / 30 ABs) when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .566 — first Percentile.
Jakob Junis allowed a slugging percentage of .821 (23 Total Bases / 28 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .410 — first Percentile.
Jakob Junis allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (55 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Feltner has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to April 20th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 9.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers were 19-39 (.328) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Brewers batted just .219 with two outs in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
- Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
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