- The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cardinals are 69-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 73-65 ATS.
Cardinals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz 1-2, 6.26 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 5-8, 4.59 ERA
Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +120 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -145 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 43 games (+26.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+12.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 46 games (+28.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+18.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+17.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 48 games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 68 games (+6.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 73 of their last 134 games (+16.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 138 games (+16.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games at home (+13.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 78 of their last 138 games (+12.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 78 of their last 138 games (+9.49 Units / 6% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 69-69 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -3.8% ROI).
- 69-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -5.97% ROI
- 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -5.44% ROI
- 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -3.91% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 73-65 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 3.05% ROI).
- 81-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.2 Units / 9.3% ROI
- 74-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.45 Units / 9.59% ROI
- 55-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.7 Units / -17.46% ROI
Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz (STL) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
68% of Steven Matz’s fastball strikeouts are elevatedsince last season — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 90th Percentile.
Steven Matz has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to April 17th — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 9.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (83/462) against Steven Matz since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 28% (91/331) against Steven Matz since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .087 (2-for-23) against Aaron Civale over the past seven days (1 games) — best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .256 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.4 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 28 ABsending on a two-strike cutter from Aaron Civale. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since last season is 383.8 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Cardinals are 36-18 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 40-27 (.597) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 19-13 (.594) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 35-76 (.315) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 46-3 (.939) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Brewers are 49-35 (.583) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Brewers are 21-14 (.600) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,531 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Cardinals are batting just .239 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .662 (1,531 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .690 (3,091 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .310 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,983 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Brewers hitters have chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.68 (2671.1 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.22 (885.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
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