- The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cardinals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-110) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cardinals are 70-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 73-66 ATS.
Cardinals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 12-9, 3.97 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 12-4, 3.70 ERA
Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 44 games (+25.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+14.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 47 games (+27.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+19.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+18.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 49 games (+15.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 81% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 135 games (+17.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 139 games (+14.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 79 of their last 139 games (+10.54 Units / 6% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 70-69 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -3.24% ROI).
- 70-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 67-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -4.74% ROI
- 67-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -4.61% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 73-66 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 2.49% ROI).
- 81-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.65 Units / 8.34% ROI
- 75-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.45 Units / 10.18% ROI
- 55-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.8 Units / -18.05% ROI
Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has 79 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to August 1st — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 9.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .180 (22 GB hits out of 122 GBs) against Sonny Gray with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 96th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has thrown breaking pitches 64% of the time (921/1,444) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has not walked a batter in his last 24.1 innings pitched — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 28.0.
Colin Rea has not allowed a walk in his last 61 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 29th — Tyler Rogers has the longest active streak at 75.
Colin Rea has not allowed a walk in any of his last four starts — Tyler Holton has the longest active streak at 5.
Colin Rea has not allowed a walk in his last 55 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 6th — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 103.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Cardinals are 37-18 (.673) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 20-13 (.606) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Cardinals are just 10-134 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 35-77 (.312) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Brewers are 63-38 (.624) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Brewers are 46-4 (.920) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are just 23-38 (-38.9% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.
The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Cardinals are just 5-23 (.179) against the run line (-55.7% ROI) after a win as favorites this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Cardinals are just 63-76 (-23.6% ROI) as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 58%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers have a winning percentage of 58% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Brewers have a winning percentage of 61% at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Brewers have a winning percentage of 57% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 97 times (8%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Cardinals have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 50% of their games at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Cardinals have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Brewers have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Brewers pitchers won 41% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
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