- The Cubs are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Cubs TV Channel: ESPN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-150) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cardinals are 57-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 54-59 ATS.
Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-8, 5.01 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 2-5, 3.37 ERA
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 +100 | +125 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -120 | -150 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+27.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+21.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 34 games (+24.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 43 games (+22.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+21.20 Units / 88% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+17.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+14.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 away games (+7.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 101 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 54% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 56-55 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -1.78% ROI).
- 57-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -5.57% ROI
- 54-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 52-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -6.2% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 54-59 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -10.94% ROI).
- 54-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -4.14% ROI
- 49-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -17 Units / -13.64% ROI
- 60-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 5.16% ROI
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (113 Total Bases / 189 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .518 (71 Total Bases / 137 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .563 (139 Total Bases / 247 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has walked 6 of 198 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,294/2,885) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (518/1,134) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (329/741) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has walked 16 of 413 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 93rd Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 23-36 (.390) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Cardinals are just 9-119 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 15-11 (.577) after a road loss this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 15-52 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Cubs are just 43-5 (.896) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Cubs are just 49-49 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cubs are just 13-174 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,255 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,255 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .290 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cubs are batting just .226 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Cubs are batting just .323 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Cubs are batting .163 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 91 of 1,001 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH this season (2,810 balls in play) — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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