Cardinals vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 28

Los Angeles Dodgers' Max Muncy celebrates his solo home run off Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow during the second inning of a baseball game Saturday, May 27, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
  • The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSMW | MLBN

The St. Louis Cardinals (+185) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

Cardinals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -105O 9 -120+185
Dodgers -1.5 -115U 9 +100-225

Cardinals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s game with 62.9% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 away games (+3.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 games (+4.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.50 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.15 Units / 158% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 18% (147/834) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas allowed a slugging percentage of .359 (142 Total Bases / 396 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Glasnow had a strikeout rate of 59% (85/145) on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 38% (64/168) against Tyler Glasnow when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 35% (325/921) against Tyler Glasnow in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow allowed an OBP of just .175 (285 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Cardinals were just 59-6 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Dodgers were 45-17 (.726) after a loss in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Dodgers are 185-29 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Dodgers are 77-35 (.688) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Dodgers were 87-10 (.897) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.

Cardinals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters pulled just 46% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters drew 187 walks in 1,806 PA’s (10%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 69% at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 68% at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Daniel Hudson (Los Angeles Dodgers): Knee, Out
  • Enrique Hernandez (Los Angeles Dodgers): Groin, Out
  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
  • Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
  • Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.