- The Cardinals are -105 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cardinals vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Monday, July 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Cardinals are 47-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 52-38 ATS.
Cardinals vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 6-7, 5.21 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 5-4, 3.65 ERA
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -105 | -105 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -115 | -115 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+18.30 Units / 183% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.60 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+11.50 Units / 88% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 82 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 45-44 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.44% ROI).
- 47-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 40-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -8.82% ROI
- 44-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.05% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 52-38 against the Run Line (+9.63 Units / 8.26% ROI).
- 42-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 8.14% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -5.18% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.62 Units / -3.64% ROI
Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Dylan Carlson (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Trey Lipscomb (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .569 (87 Total Bases / 153 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of .896 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .648 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .410 (77 Total Bases / 188 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .550 (111 Total Bases / 202 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — first Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 69% (353/508) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 16% (18/114) against Mitchell Parker when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has 22 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 13th most among of 579 pitchers in MLB — 97th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has allowed a slugging percentage of .433 (45 Total Bases / 104 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 10th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are just 23-29 (.442) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Cardinals are 33-15 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 4-21 (.160) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Cardinals are just 54-57 (.486) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 80-125 (.390) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 53-202 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .222 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .681 (2,583 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Cardinals are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging just .337 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .637 (953 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Nationals are just 5-17 (.227) against the run line (-41.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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