- The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Phillies TV Channel: FOX
The St. Louis Cardinals (+130) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-155) on Saturday, June 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 27-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 33-25 ATS.
Cardinals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 7-2, 2.60 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 9-1, 1.78 ERA
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -120 | +130 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 +100 | -155 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+14.75 Units / 148% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.15 Units / 72% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games at home (+13.80 Units / 106% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 54% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 41 games (+24.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 43 games (+17.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 41 games (+16.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games (+16.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 27-28 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -4.87% ROI).
- 27-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -7.65% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -13.24% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 5.07% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 33-25 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 12.21% ROI).
- 40-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.8 Units / 13.17% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -5.97% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -3.05% ROI
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .318 (106 Total Bases / 333 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 78% (18/23) against Sonny Gray on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .178 (58 Total Bases / 326 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .133 (34 Total Bases / 256 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .394 — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of 80% (144/181) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .088 (12-for-137) against Ranger Suarez with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 97th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .296 (151 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .475 — 97th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .124 (17 Total Bases / 137 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 9-91 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cardinals are just 51-53 (.490) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Cardinals are just 6-102 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 27-33 (.450) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
The Phillies are 10-78 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .211 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Cardinals hitters have grounded into 1 double play in 69 opportunities (1%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Cardinals are batting .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .347 (780 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,743 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Phillies are batting .263 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .334 (4,398 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 124 of 1,917 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .131 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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