- The Pirates are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: BSMW | SNPT
The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 52-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 54-45 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 4-4, 4.18 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.50 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -115 | +110 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -105 | -130 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 48% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 38 games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 86% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 away games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games (+12.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 55 games (+11.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 50-49 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.61% ROI).
- 52-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -3.83% ROI
- 46-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -6.61% ROI
- 48-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -2.28% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-45 against the Run Line (+5.36 Units / 4.15% ROI).
- 50-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.52% ROI
- 45-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 50-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.48 Units / 1.37% ROI
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .423 (248 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .305 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (156/205) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .341 (73-for-214) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (487/725) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (97/342) against Mitch Keller this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .216 (50-for-232) against Mitch Keller with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — sixth Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .338 (736 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .281 (43-for-153) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — eighth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 5-21 (.192) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Cardinals are 12-8 (.600) after a loss as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Cardinals are just 8-115 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cardinals are 33-15 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 16-27 (.372) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 77-107 (.418) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Pirates are 15-11 (.577) after a road loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Pirates are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,088 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Cardinals are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .680 (2,648 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .499 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Pirates hitters have 62 strikeouts in 168 PA’s (37%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 190 strikeouts in 550 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 143 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 13 of 369 batters (4%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 31 of 609 batters (5%) this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,481 of 16,269 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Pirates pitchers this month (16 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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