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The St. Louis Cardinals () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 53-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 54-47 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 2-2, 4.16 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-5, 5.55 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 44 games (+34.20 Units / 78% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+28.45 Units / 105% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 49 games (+17.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+18.60 Units / 109% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 7 away games (+7.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+5.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 away games (+5.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 90 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 57 games (+9.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 52-49 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 0.9% ROI).
- 53-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -3.32% ROI
- 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -8.51% ROI
- 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -0.41% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-47 against the Run Line (+3.36 Units / 2.56% ROI).
- 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.17% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -10.78% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.48 Units / 3.16% ROI
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yasmani Grandal (PIT) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn (STL) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore has walked 2 of 78 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 7th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .214 (22-for-103) against Matthew Liberatore with two-strikes this season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .159 — seventh Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has a strikeout rate of just 35% (41 SO in 116 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — ninth Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has allowed an OPS of .819 (131 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 9th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .667 — ninth Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has allowed an OBP of .481 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .268 — fourth Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .265 — third Percentile.
Martin Perez has an ERA of 11.88 (8.1 IP)in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.68 — 0 Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of .811 (60 Total Bases / 74 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Cardinals are just 23-29 (.442) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Cardinals are 12-9 (.571) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Cardinals are 13-10 (.565) after a road loss this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 78-108 (.419) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Pirates are just 95-19 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Pirates are just 13-186 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Pirates are just 138-30 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,091 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .623 (1,091 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .322 (12,165 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 422 strikeouts in 1,250 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 192 strikeouts in 555 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 64 strikeouts in 173 PA’s (37%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 147 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 152 of 2,335 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 18 of 403 batters (4%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,483 of 16,335 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Pirates pitchers this month (18 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed 99 home runs this season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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