Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

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Cincinnati Reds' Elly De La Cruz watches his hit during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Cleveland Guardians, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, in Goodyear, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 13, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Reds are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cardinals are 60-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 67-52 ATS.

Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-5, 3.28 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 8-4, 2.91 ERA

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -190O 8.5 +100+115
Reds -1.5 +155U 8.5 -120-135

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+26.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+21.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.00 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 32 games (+27.10 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+14.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 61 away games (+4.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 away games (+1.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+12.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 103 games (+9.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 69 games (+6.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 58-61 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -5.13% ROI).

  • 60-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -7.13% ROI
  • 57-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -4.7% ROI
  • 57-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -4.5% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 67-52 against the Run Line (+8.6 Units / 5.43% ROI).

  • 58-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -3.46% ROI
  • 54-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -9.81% ROI
  • 60-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.23% ROI

Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jonathan India (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
TJ Friedl (CIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Erick Fedde (STL) 5.5 +120 5.5 -155
Hunter Greene (CIN) 7.5 +130 7.5 -175

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (399/799) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (398/680) in two strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 19% (28 SO in 146 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 60% (668/1,113) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .186 (89-for-478) against Hunter Greene this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 97th Percentile.

57% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (76/200) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 31% (86/277) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 57-73 (.438) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .505.

The Cardinals are just 26-61 (.299) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 31-34 (.477) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Reds are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 33-17 (.660) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Reds are 12-20 (.375) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Cardinals are batting just .232 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,394 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .687 (2,954 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .356 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Reds hitters have 15 strikeouts in 35 PA’s (43%) against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Reds hitters are slugging just .148 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 167 of 2,493 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
  • TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
  • Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.