- The Cardinals are +100 favorites vs the Reds
- Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cardinals are 26-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 31-24 ATS.
Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 0-1, 6.31 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 2-3, 4.65 ERA
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -115 | +105 |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -105 | -125 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 away games (+13.60 Units / 105% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 89% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+9.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 41 games (+12.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Martini has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 26-27 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -4.86% ROI).
- 26-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -7.89% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -10.08% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.76% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 31-24 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 6.5% ROI).
- 24-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -11.26% ROI
- 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -10.51% ROI
- 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.58% ROI
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Carpenter (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +135 |
| Frankie Montas (CIN) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (198/264) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .369 (48-for-130) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (198/264) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 78% (120/154) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has struck out just 12% (12/99) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 58% of Frankie Montas’ fastballs (217/372) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of just 31% (28 SO in 90 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 56% (386/696) against Frankie Montas when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 51-53 (.490) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Cardinals are just 20-53 (.274) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.
The Cardinals are 31-23 (.574) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 24-27 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Reds are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 58-43 (.574) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are 23-10 (.697) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .620 (616 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Cardinals are batting just .210 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .127 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
The Reds are batting just .102 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Reds hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 45 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .221 (1,071 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers this season is 383.9 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 395.9
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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