Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 26

(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
  • The Cardinals are -120 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Cardinals vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (-120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+100) on Thursday, September 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Cardinals are 81-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 78-80 ATS.

Cardinals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 8-8, 4.12 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 5-8, 4.97 ERA

Cardinals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +135O 10.5 -110-120
Rockies +1.5 -160U 10.5 -110+100

Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 35 games (+19.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.20 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kyle Gibson has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+11.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+17.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games at home (+17.25 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+14.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.65 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 60 games at home (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+5.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.80 Units / 30% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 81-77 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -1.8% ROI).

  • 81-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -3.22% ROI
  • 71-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -10.13% ROI
  • 80-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 0.84% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 78-80 against the Run Line (-15.2 Units / -7.95% ROI).

  • 60-98 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -2.7% ROI
  • 75-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -6.2% ROI
  • 78-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -2.49% ROI

Rockies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Jordan Walker (STL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550

Rockies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rockies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Jordan Walker (STL) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Ivan Herrera (STL) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160

Rockies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Gibson (STL) 4.5 -120 4.5 -105
Kyle Freeland (COL) 3.5 -115 3.5 -115

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (340/618) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has walked 25 of 161 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,606/2,689) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (98/173) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .481 (13-for-27) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .423 (30-for-71) against Kyle Freeland in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .384 (86-for-224) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .641 (75 Total Bases / 117 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are 40-20 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 44-27 (.620) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rockies are just 88-22 (.793) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Rockies are just 81-46 (.638) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rockies are just 48-9 (.828) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Rockies are just 6-10 (.375) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .689 (3,279 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Cardinals are just 44-70 (.367) against the run line (-30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Cardinals are batting .248 with two outs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Cardinals are batting .165 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (8,978 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have won just 56% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.