- The Twins are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSMW | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-145) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Cardinals are 64-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 62-66 ATS.
Cardinals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 11-8, 3.92 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 11-8, 4.51 ERA
Cardinals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -115 | -145 |
Cardinals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 33 games (+25.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+15.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+28.50 Units / 130% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 64 away games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+5.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+14.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games at home (+13.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 108 games (+8.40 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 52 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 64-64 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -3.04% ROI).
- 64-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -7.33% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -2.36% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 62-66 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -3.69% ROI).
- 71-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.31% ROI
- 66-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 3.3% ROI
- 56-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.05 Units / -12.16% ROI
Twins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (127/340) against Sonny Gray this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 59% (168 SO in 283 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 54% (93 SO in 173 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 33% (68 SO in 207 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .419 (31-for-74) against Pablo Lopez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — first Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 8 of 225 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 50% (17 SO in 34 PAs) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 29% (147 SO in 512 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cardinals are 35-18 (.660) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 38-27 (.585) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 54-1 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Twins are 129-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are 197-4 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins are 60-22 (.732) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Twins are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,466 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .656 (1,466 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Cardinals are batting .162 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .768 (3,493 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Twins hitters are slugging .462 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.
Twins hitters have drawn 82 walks in 1,276 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .794 (2,291 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .263 (1,135 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have walked 270 of 4,034 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
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