Cardinals vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

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Minnesota Twins shortstop Carlos Correa walks to the dugout after an at-bat in Game 2 of an American League Division Series baseball game against the Houston Astros in Houston, Sunday, Oct. 8, 2023.
(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 25, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Twins are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-145) on Sunday, August 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Cardinals are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 0-0 ATS.

Cardinals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-7, 3.39 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 1-1, 3.60 ERA

Cardinals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -185O 8.5 -105+120
Twins -1.5 +150U 8.5 -115-145

Cardinals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 33 games (+25.50 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+15.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+28.50 Units / 130% ROI)
  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 64 away games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+5.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+14.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games at home (+13.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 108 games (+8.40 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 52 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Twins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Matt Carpenter (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Twins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Tommy Pham (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Twins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Twins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zebby Matthews (MIN) 3.5 -125 3.5 -105
Erick Fedde (STL) 4.5 +100 4.5 -130

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (429/865) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (421/731) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 19% (28 SO in 150 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (10/89) against Erick Fedde on breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (12/76) against Zebby Matthews this month (2 games) — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Zebby Matthews has a strikeout rate of just 14% (6 SO in 43 PAs) this month (2 games) — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 22% — ninth Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Cardinals are 35-18 (.660) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 38-27 (.585) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Cardinals are 16-12 (.571) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .435.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Twins are 129-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Twins are 58-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Twins are 19-15 (.559) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .466.

The Twins are 25-94 (.210) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Cardinals hitters have 106 extra-base hits out of 418 total hits (just 25%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The Cardinals are just 43-66 (.384) against the run line (-29.5% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .796 (2,325 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Twins hitters are slugging .461 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .356.

Twins hitters have drawn 82 walks in 1,280 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Twins are batting .266 at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins pitchers have walked 66 of 1,146 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Twins pitchers have walked 332 of 4,768 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins pitchers have walked 1,243 of 16,838 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.