- The Cubs are -140 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | BSWI | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (-140) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+115) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 28-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 29-25 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 5-0, 0.84 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 3-1, 2.89 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Cubs | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -105 | -140 |
Brewers | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -115 | +115 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 away games (+18.10 Units / 95% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 43 games (+15.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 43 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 43 games (+10.65 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 49 games (+12.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 48 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.80 Units / 109% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games (+10.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+7.29 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.95 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-26 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -4.04% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 3.35% ROI
- 23-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -18.56% ROI
- 31-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 9.35% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 29-25 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 0.94% ROI).
- 31-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 11.58% ROI
- 30-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 8.42% ROI
- 23-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -16.5% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Bryse Wilson (MIL) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .234 (209 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (33/90) against Shota Imanaga on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .255 (51 Total Bases / 200 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 98th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (9 Total Bases / 76 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .377 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% (35/159) against Bryse Wilson on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 8th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 30% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (43/230) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .240 (287 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .305 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .155 (16-for-103) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 96th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Cubs are 27-23 (.540) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Cubs are just 40-41 (.494) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs are just 5-82 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 28-54 (.341) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 42-99 (.298) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 33-27 (.550) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Brewers are 52-31 (.627) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .201 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Cubs hitters are slugging .462 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .368.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .231 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .510 (133 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .336 (1,664 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Brewers hitters are slugging .422 against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 31% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 47 of 492 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 23 double plays in 408 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers won 41% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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