- The Cardinals are -200 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Cardinals TV Channel: ATV+
The Chicago Cubs (+165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Cubs are 45-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-46 ATS.
Cubs vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 1-7, 7.62 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 9-5, 3.29 ERA
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -120 | O 8 -115 | +165 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -105 | -200 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+11.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.30 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 59% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 46-48 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -9.4% ROI).
- 45-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -4.29% ROI
- 40-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.75 Units / -15.27% ROI
- 51-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 6.84% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 46-46 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -2.22% ROI).
- 48-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -4.06% ROI
- 42-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -7.73% ROI
- 45-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -1.25% ROI
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +125 |
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.1 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (323 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 87.4
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH in the 2023 season (449 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.3 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 55% (62 SO in 112 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .302 (122 Total Bases / 404 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 96th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 37% (53 SO in 144 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .147 (45 Total Bases / 306 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .389 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 36-5 (.878) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Cubs are 30-28 (.517) after a loss as underdogs since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Cubs are just 6-99 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Cubs are 17-4 (.810) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 4-21 (.160) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Cardinals are 33-15 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 22-33 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .166 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 146 double plays in 1,845 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs are batting just .321 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Cubs are batting .165 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .679 (2,626 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Cardinals are batting just .223 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .372 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 75 of 834 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 43 double plays in 669 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 24 of 426 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 148 of 2,254 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
