- The Cardinals are -130 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Cardinals TV Channel: MARQ | BSMW
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-130) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Cubs are 46-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-47 ATS.
Cubs vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski 3-5, 3.68 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 4-4, 4.45 ERA
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -105 | +110 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -115 | -130 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+12.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.55 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games at home (+6.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 47-48 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -8.55% ROI).
- 46-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 40-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.85 Units / -16.16% ROI
- 52-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 7.73% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 46-47 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -3.01% ROI).
- 48-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -5.74% ROI
- 42-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -8.74% ROI
- 46-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.25% ROI
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn (STL) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Hayden Wesneski (CHC) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .137 (23-for-168) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (28-for-193) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .447 (197 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .740 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (155/470) against Javier Assad on low breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (481/841) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (199/364) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has walked 16 of 94 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (15 Total Bases / 24 ABs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 48-47 (.505) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Cubs are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cubs are just 5-181 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 4-21 (.160) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .358.
The Cardinals are 33-15 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 10-103 (.088) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Cardinals are 42-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .333 on the road this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Cubs are batting .293 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters have 89 extra-base hits out of 279 total hits (just 32%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Cubs are batting just .222 with two outs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,066 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .372 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .622 (1,066 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Cardinals are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 44 double plays in 678 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 77 of 843 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (6,392 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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