- The Cardinals are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Cardinals TV Channel: MARQ | BSMW | ESPN+
The Chicago Cubs (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Cubs are 46-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 47-48 ATS.
Cubs vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 6-4, 2.99 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 7-7, 4.90 ERA
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 +100 | +115 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -120 | -135 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+10.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+4.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 48-49 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -8.93% ROI).
- 46-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -4.43% ROI
- 42-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.85 Units / -13.94% ROI
- 52-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 5.56% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 47-48 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.52% ROI).
- 50-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 44-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 46-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -2.32% ROI
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (13/179 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 32 of 692 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 91st Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (53/508 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 99th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to June 16th — Griffin Canning has the longest active streak at 6.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .308 (66-for-214) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .562 (91 Total Bases / 162 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (116 Total Bases / 214 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (25/174) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 37-5 (.881) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Cubs are just 6-100 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cubs are just 5-183 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Cubs are just 35-9 (.795) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 5-21 (.192) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Cardinals are 12-8 (.600) after a loss as underdogs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
The Cardinals are 44-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Cardinals are just 56-58 (.491) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .314 on the road this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .260 (5,357 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
25% of Cubs hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cubs are batting .165 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .623 (1,071 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Cardinals are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 78 of 859 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 24 of 463 batters (5%) this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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