The Chicago Cubs (+130) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Sunday, March 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Peoria, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 9-6 ATS.
Cubs vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +130 |
| Mariners | -155 |
Cubs vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s matchup with 55.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games at home (+8.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 12-8 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / 16.27% ROI).
- 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.92 Units / 2.72% ROI
- 6-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -43.07% ROI
- 14-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 33.62% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 9-6 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 16.16% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / -13.7% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 33.17% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -42.1% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks threw his changeup 52% of the time (272/524) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks located 73% of his pitches away (827/1,135) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.2 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert allowed an OBP of just .270 (767 PA’s) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 95th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert threw his slider 44% of the time (229/525) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 96th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert walked 36 of 770 batters (5%) in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.
Logan Gilbert threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 74% (404/548) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs were 17-15 (.531) after a loss as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Mariners are 84-13 (.866) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Mariners are 31-30 (.508) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Mariners are 138-6 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs batted .287 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .264 (3,361 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs hitters averaged 3.99 pitches per plate appearance in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters struck out 422 times in 1,624 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters struck out 1,603 times in 6,201 PA’s (26%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers had a strike rate of 67% in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
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