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- Cubs vs Nationals Over / Under today: Runs
- Cubs / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (-125) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+105) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Cubs are 70-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 77-59 ATS.
Cubs vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks 1-2, 4.09 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 7-8, 4.28 ERA
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | O -115 | -125 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -160 | U -105 | +105 |
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+21.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+16.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+14.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+12.85 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+21.80 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 away games (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 128 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 128 games (+7.20 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 67-69 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -7.3% ROI).
- 70-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.23% ROI
- 62-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -9.37% ROI
- 69-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.6% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 77-59 against the Run Line (+9.38 Units / 5.29% ROI).
- 61-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.74% ROI
- 64-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -5.39% ROI
- 66-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.27 Units / -3.49% ROI
Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Dylan Crews (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wicks (CHC) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (35/264) against Mitchell Parker on elevated fastballs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 15% (20 SO in 130 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has walked 3 of 152 batters (2%) versus the bottom of the order this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has 33 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 7th most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are 30-7 (.811) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Cubs are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 25-7 (.781) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Cubs are 20-10 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals are 10-2 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Nationals are just 92-138 (.400) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Nationals are just 93-58 (.616) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Nationals are just 56-225 (.199) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Nationals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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