- The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on Wednesday, September 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Cubs are 81-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 77-81 ATS.
Cubs vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 7-5, 3.36 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 11-9, 3.22 ERA
Cubs vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -110 | +155 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | -190 |
Cubs vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 17 games (+20.00 Units / 118% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+19.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+15.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+17.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Walks Under in 24 of his last 39 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+13.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+16.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 70 games at home (+13.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 99 games (+11.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 69 games at home (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 77-81 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -8.09% ROI).
- 81-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.08% ROI
- 74-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.9 Units / -6.83% ROI
- 78-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -1.76% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 77-81 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -4.03% ROI).
- 93-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.02% ROI
- 74-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -5.88% ROI
- 76-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -3.34% ROI
Phillies vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Hays (PHI) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Phillies vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Phillies vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .444 (273 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .733 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (38-for-260) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (274/540) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .227 (269 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (134/215) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (318/540) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 50% (243/488) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .273 (69-for-253) against Cristopher Sanchez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 16th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cubs are just 55-49 (.529) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Cubs are 32-10 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .642.
The Cubs are 24-13 (.649) after a home loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Cubs are just 64-12 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Phillies are 7-3 (.700) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Phillies are 53-26 (.671) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Phillies are 18-12 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Phillies are 102-58 (.638) at home since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .354 (546 PA’s) against RHP this month (22 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Cubs hitters have drawn 868 walks in 9,011 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 182 double plays in 2,263 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,875 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Phillies are batting .258 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Phillies are batting .265 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Phillies are batting .273 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this month (22 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.17 (705.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs pitchers have walked 125 of 1,401 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .233 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 434 of 5,894 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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