- The Cubs are -105 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cubs vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Pirates TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT
The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) on Monday, August 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cubs are 65-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 73-57 ATS.
Cubs vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 8-8, 3.79 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 11-7, 3.80 ERA
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 49 games (+32.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 40 of his last 50 games (+24.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+23.45 Units / 58% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+17.55 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+25.90 Units / 235% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+12.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+9.90 Units / 141% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 119 games (+8.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 91 games (+18.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games at home (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 86 games (+3.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 63-68 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -9.69% ROI).
- 65-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -2.11% ROI
- 58-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.95 Units / -11.74% ROI
- 68-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 2.95% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 73-57 against the Run Line (+13.21 Units / 7.83% ROI).
- 62-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -4.68% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.32 Units / -1.63% ROI
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 8% of batters they faced (21/251 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .435 (307 Total Bases / 706 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — eighth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .745 (41 Total Bases / 55 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — third Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (61/580 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of .892 (220 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .298 (59-for-198) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — fourth Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (107 Total Bases / 198 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — third Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .352 (219 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — third Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are just 53-49 (.520) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Cubs are just 13-181 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are 24-7 (.774) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .643.
The Cubs are 28-7 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 104-22 (.825) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Pirates are just 8-24 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Pirates are just 147-33 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Pirates are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .227 at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 158 double plays in 2,039 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .303 (2,337 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cubs hitters are slugging .445 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .491 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Pirates hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 183 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters have 437 strikeouts in 1,297 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 207 strikeouts in 602 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 58 double plays in 912 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (588.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1155.2 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,574 of 17,424 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.48 (320.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Pirates pitchers have walked 29 of 458 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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