- The Reds are -150 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cubs / Reds TV Channel: MARQ | BSOH | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-150) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cubs are 51-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 60-47 ATS.
Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 2-9, 7.07 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 8-3, 3.49 ERA
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | O 9.5 -110 | +125 |
| Reds | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -110 | -150 |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 39 games (+20.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+18.70 Units / 94% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+17.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 44 games (+15.85 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+19.60 Units / 93% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.60 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 97 games (+15.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+14.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 89 games (+11.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 52-57 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -11.32% ROI).
- 51-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -5.99% ROI
- 45-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -21 Units / -17.46% ROI
- 60-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.8 Units / 9.02% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 60-47 against the Run Line (+7.45 Units / 5.23% ROI).
- 52-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -3.43% ROI
- 46-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -13.94% ROI
- 56-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.15 Units / 4.39% ROI
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Fraley (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH in the 2023 season (449 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.4 MPH since last season (717 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 89.1
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 58% of the time (560/957) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .394 (376 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (197/434) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .543 (35 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — first Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OPS of just .369 (96 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .699 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 41-5 (.891) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Cubs are just 7-105 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cubs are 18-6 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Cubs are just 12-174 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 28-34 (.452) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 11-18 (.379) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .226 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .671 (1,884 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Cubs are batting .321 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (21 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Cubs hitters are averaging 3.99 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .108 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Reds hitters are slugging just .143 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Reds have an average Exit Velocity of 88.0 MPH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Reds hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 50 double plays in 782 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.27 (470.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this month (24 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 350 of 3,814 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
