The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-130) on Sunday, March 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 6-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 6-9 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +110 |
| Brewers | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 away games (+6.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 away games (+4.15 Units / 208% ROI)
- Dominic Fletcher has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Seby Zavala has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 away games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 away games (+11.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 7-12 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -27.29% ROI).
- 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -29.58% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -23.98% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 15.99% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 6-9 against the Run Line (+1 Units / -28.84% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / -11.81% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / 1.91% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / -9.53% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly walked 25 of 207 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 15% (7/48) against Merrill Kelly on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Merrill Kelly located 50% of his pitches away (1,400/2,803) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among in NL; League Avg: 45% — 90th Percentile.
83% of Merrill Kelly’s non-fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
DL Hall has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.2 innings pitched — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 28.1.
DL Hall has pitched 10.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 28.1.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers were 16-11 (.593) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Diamondbacks batted just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 331 times in 1,697 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Brewers won 57% of games in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Brewers hitters had an OPS of just .695 (4,547 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed the 5th hardest ball in play hit (115.8 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
- Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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