Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 22, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | DBTV | MLBN

The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers () on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 23-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 27-24 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 2-3, 7.06 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 6-2, 2.89 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks O
Dodgers U

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+21.00 Units / 525% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+17.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+16.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+12.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 43 games (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 away games (+3.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+7.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 22-27 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -12.66% ROI).

  • 23-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -9.68% ROI
  • 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -6.78% ROI
  • 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.78% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-24 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.67% ROI).

  • 33-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.41% ROI
  • 27-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 3.51% ROI
  • 23-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -12.07% ROI

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) 5.5 +135 5.5 -175
Gavin Stone (LAD) 4.5 +135 4.5 -175

Ryne Nelson has allowed a BABIP of .558 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .368 (21-for-57) against Ryne Nelson when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .366 (48-for-131) against Ryne Nelson this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed an OBP of .562 (32 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 0 Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 49% (24 SO in 49 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 62% (35 SO in 56 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 58% (81 SO in 140 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 41% (11 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are just 153-15 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Diamondbacks are just 135-24 (.849) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Diamondbacks are just 128-30 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.

The Diamondbacks are 16-10 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 48-16 (.750) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Dodgers are 220-37 (.856) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Dodgers are 31-9 (.775) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Dodgers are 90-40 (.692) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

30% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .804 (577 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (577 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (10,403 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 27 double plays in 431 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .760 (4,434 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .351 (608 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 6.70 (90.0 IP) at home this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.62.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 35 of 671 batters (5%) this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Dodgers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,005 of 13,747 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.