- The Diamondbacks are -115 favorites vs the Mets
- Diamondbacks vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Mets TV Channel: WPIX | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-105) on Sunday, June 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 26-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 24-34 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 2-4, 4.13 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-5, 5.01 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -105 | -115 |
| Mets | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -115 | -105 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+17.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+17.10 Units / 244% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+15.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+11.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 22 games (+13.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+11.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games (+7.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 25-33 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -16.14% ROI).
- 26-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -12.13% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -14.5% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 6.25% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 24-34 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -17.97% ROI).
- 24-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -18.46% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.56% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -8.63% ROI
Mets vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .173 vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 92nd Percentile and .290 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .083 vs right-handed batters (fourth best)– 96th Percentile and .320 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 14th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a just .167 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)– 90th Percentile and .520 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 14th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (200/274) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 48% (160/331) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 48% (160/331) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 13% (13 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (462/783) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Diamondbacks are just 156-15 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 138-24 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Diamondbacks are just 93-9 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mets are just 64-31 (.674) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mets are just 9-51 (.150) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are just 77-15 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Mets are just 28-33 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .316 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .505 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have won just 25% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Mets hitters are slugging just .346 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .848 (408 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.040.
The Mets are batting .264 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 166 of 2,183 batters (8%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 59 of 524 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 829 of 8,334 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 199 of 1,936 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 238 of 2,250 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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