- The Diamondbacks are -120 favorites vs the Mets
- Diamondbacks vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Mets TV Channel: SNY | DBTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 25-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 23-32 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 5-4, 3.14 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 0-2, 3.97 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | O 7 -115 | -120 |
| Mets | +1.5 -185 | U 7 -105 | +100 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+20.00 Units / 400% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+18.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+16.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 39 games (+11.00 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+14.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 away games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-32 against the Run Line (-13.3 Units / -18.68% ROI).
- 25-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -10.88% ROI
- 23-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -16.78% ROI
- 30-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 8.42% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 23-32 against the Run Line (-12.55 Units / -17.49% ROI).
- 22-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.7 Units / -20.91% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.93% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -7.2% ROI
Mets vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Scott (NYM) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Christian Scott (NYM) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (118/233) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 39% (30/78) against Zac Gallen this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (42/107) against Zac Gallen with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .335 (123 Total Bases / 367 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — 93rd Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 12% (3/25) against Christian Scott on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 9% (4/45) against Christian Scott — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 9% (4/45) against Christian Scott over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Christian Scott has located his pitches away 61% of the time (222/363) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Diamondbacks are just 137-24 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 155-15 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 92-9 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Diamondbacks are 16-10 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mets are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Mets are just 15-82 (.155) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mets are just 76-15 (.835) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Mets are just 20-35 (.364) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
30% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .278 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .309 (4,051 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .605 (1,111 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Mets are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Mets have won just 25% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .282 (1,111 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (24 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 58 of 497 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 227 of 2,132 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 818 of 8,216 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 73% of their games this month (26 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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