- The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 18-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 21-16 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 2-2, 5.23 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: John Means 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -120 | +145 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +115 | U 9 +100 | -175 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+16.50 Units / 236% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+14.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 31 games (+21.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+14.65 Units / 77% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+13.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+11.15 Units / 101% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 124 games (+23.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 124 games (+14.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 18-21 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -11.82% ROI).
- 18-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -11.88% ROI
- 15-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -21.81% ROI
- 22-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 13.83% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 21-16 against the Run Line (+8.75 Units / 20.07% ROI).
- 25-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 11.02% ROI
- 18-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 1.48% ROI
- 16-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -9.54% ROI
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| John Means (BAL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of .894 (281 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .729 — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .550 (137 Total Bases / 249 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .417 — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 14% (47/348) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has walked 15 of 365 right-handed batters (4%) since last season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
John Means has not walked a batter in his last 18.1 innings pitched — Zack Littell has the longest active streak at 27.2.
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (19/44) against John Means over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
John Means has pitched 9.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Clay Holmes has the longest active streak at 20.2.
John Means allowed an OBP of just .143 (21 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .276 — 93rd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Diamondbacks are just 131-23 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 149-15 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 22-139 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Diamondbacks are 83-20 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 42-23 (.646) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Orioles are 45-55 (.450) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Orioles are 29-20 (.592) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .345 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .501 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .500 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Orioles are 44-21 (.677) against the run line (30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Orioles are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .344.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,195 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 100 of 1,364 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 21 of 337 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
