Dodgers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

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(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 17, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Dodgers vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Dodgers / Cardinals TV Channel: FOX

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Dodgers are 72-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 59-63 ATS.

Dodgers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 1-2, 8.17 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 4-6, 4.18 ERA

Dodgers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +115O 9 -105-135
Cardinals +1.5 -135U 9 -115+115

Dodgers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+23.50 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+15.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games at home (+21.50 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+16.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 42 games at home (+2.05 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 59-64 against the Run Line (-10.8 Units / -7.28% ROI).

  • 72-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.65 Units / -5.45% ROI
  • 65-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 2.63% ROI
  • 56-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.45 Units / -11.38% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 59-63 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -6.1% ROI).

  • 60-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -9.07% ROI
  • 59-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -3.87% ROI
  • 58-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -5.33% ROI

Cardinals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +290 0.5 -350
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Cardinals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Rojas (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Enrique Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Cardinals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Cardinals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andre Pallante (STL) 3.5 -130 3.5 +100

Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 98.6 MPH since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 93.7 — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Bobby Miller in the 2023 season was 383.7 feet — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

The average home run distance against Bobby Miller since last season is 388.1 feet — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 399.0

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 27% (21/78) against Bobby Miller on elevated fastballs since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 97th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (181/236) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (534/793) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (186/282) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .393 (300 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .306 — second Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Dodgers are 55-28 (.663) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

The Dodgers are 148-26 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

The Dodgers are 107-56 (.656) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .490.

The Dodgers are 248-46 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are 51-1 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Cardinals are just 56-62 (.475) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Cardinals are just 57-73 (.438) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.235 (922 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.074.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (12,488 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (11,082 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (12,488 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Cardinals are batting just .239 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .689 (2,986 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .657 (1,426 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (3996.1 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
  • Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.