- The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Phillies TV Channel: SNLA | NSPA | TBS
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 55-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 48-42 ATS.
Dodgers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 1-1, 6.12 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 9-4, 2.77 ERA
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -115 | +115 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -105 | -135 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+19.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rafael Marchan has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 games (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 away games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.55 Units / 34% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 75 games (+21.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 73 games (+20.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 72 games (+17.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 37 games at home (+14.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 45-46 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -6.47% ROI).
- 55-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -6.28% ROI
- 47-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.35% ROI
- 43-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -8.61% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 48-42 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 4.72% ROI).
- 58-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.9 Units / 7.35% ROI
- 40-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -9.91% ROI
- 45-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.81% ROI
Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Phillies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller (LAD) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to April 5th — Jose Berrios has the longest active streak at 7.
Bobby Miller has averaged 98.6 MPH on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 98.7 MPH since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Bobby Miller in the 2023 season was 383.2 feet — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .430 (207 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .657 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (783/1,844) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,407/3,311) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .209 (206 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are 51-20 (.718) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 236-44 (.843) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 263-123 (.681) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Dodgers are 9-4 (.692) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies are just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 9-20 (.310) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Phillies are 50-6 (.893) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Phillies are 4-25 (.138) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (11,586 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (7,077 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .458 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (2,786 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .774 (4,798 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .310 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,049 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (1906.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (3714.2 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .152 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 233 of 3,312 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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