- The Brewers are -165 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (+140) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-165) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Giants are 67-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 69-62 ATS.
Giants vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 7-5, 4.02 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 8-7, 3.88 ERA
Giants vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -110 | +140 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -110 | -165 |
Giants vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 36 games (+44.00 Units / 122% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+15.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+14.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+12.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+21.70 Units / 87% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+17.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+17.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+15.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 41 games (+14.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 67 away games (+11.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 101 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 46 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 70 of their last 127 games (+15.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 131 games (+11.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games at home (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 66-67 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -2.91% ROI).
- 67-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -4.72% ROI
- 68-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 1.75% ROI
- 60-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -10.27% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 69-62 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 1.96% ROI).
- 75-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 7.01% ROI
- 71-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.55 Units / 9.48% ROI
- 53-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.4 Units / -17.49% ROI
Brewers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Blake Perkins (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +120 |
| Kyle Harrison (SF) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 34% of Kyle Harrison’s breaking pitches (142/411) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.375 (22 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when behind in the count this month (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .623 — first Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has an average spin rate of 1989.5 RPM on curveballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 2530.2 — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 65% of the time (352/543) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (478/813) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 30% (152 SO in 503 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .211 (96-for-455) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 61% (1,517/2,483) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are 44-24 (.647) after a home loss since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Giants are 21-123 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Giants are just 32-48 (.400) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Giants are 120-4 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
keys to the game – home
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .160 (225 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Giants hitters have 1,292 strikeouts in 5,212 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .233 on the road since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Giants are batting just .237 since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 139 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,647/17,209 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .330 (3,766 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 251 of 4,057 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% against Brewers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Brewers pitchers this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
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