- The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Giants / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Giants are 67-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 70-62 ATS.
Giants vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 3-3, 4.60 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 4-8, 4.84 ERA
Giants vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -125 | +110 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -105 | -135 |
Giants vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 37 games (+43.00 Units / 116% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+16.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+15.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+14.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+17.60 Units / 196% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+16.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+16.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+16.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 68 away games (+11.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 102 games (+9.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 47 games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 70 of their last 128 games (+15.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 132 games (+12.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 66-68 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -3.72% ROI).
- 67-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -5.27% ROI
- 68-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 1.74% ROI
- 60-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -10.19% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 70-62 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 2.66% ROI).
- 76-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 7.55% ROI
- 71-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.55 Units / 9.4% ROI
- 53-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.4 Units / -17.36% ROI
Brewers vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Brewers vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hayden Birdsong (SF) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hayden Birdsong has allowed three-ball counts to 40% of batters they faced (28/70 PA’s) this month (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 0 Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.2 innings pitched — Emmanuel Clase has the longest active streak at 20.2.
Hayden Birdsong has a strike rate of just 57% (176/309) this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 41% of Hayden Birdsong’s pitches (126/309) this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .135 (10 GB hits out of 74 GBs) against Aaron Civale with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 99th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of just 13% (26 SO in 206 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 20% — second Percentile.
Aaron Civale has struck out just 17% (49/291) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 11th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 61% (404/665) in two strike counts this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 10th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are just 48-76 (.387) after a road loss since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Giants are 44-24 (.647) after a home loss since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Giants are just 38-40 (.487) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Giants are 22-11 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 35-76 (.315) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Brewers are 45-3 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Brewers are 37-36 (.507) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 1,294 strikeouts in 5,217 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .195 (517 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (24 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Giants hitters have 6 strikeouts in 15 PA’s (40%) against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .165 (231 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 39 extra-base hits out of 141 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .473 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .562.
Brewers hitters have chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 33 of 196 batters (17%) over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Brewers pitchers this month (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Brewers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
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